Over 1.5 goals@1.22
Over 1.5
82%
SRBSuper Liga · Matchday 14Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Gradski Stadion Sabac
Macva
12th · 10 pts2–4FULL TIME
FK Crvena Zvezda
1st · 40 pts5% Macva
12% Draw
84% FK
OUR PICK
FK Crvena Zvezda to win
Model probability 84% · fair odds
1.20
Expected goals
0.48 – 2.67
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X2121.84X8.4221.20
Goals 2.5Over1.65Under2.42
Both scoreGG2.70NG1.55
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.65
Over 2.5
61%
Both teams to score@1.55
NG
65%
Double chance@1.05
X2
95%
Season stats
MacvaFK Crvena Zvezda0.8Goals per game2.6
1.8Conceded per game0.4
0.71Points per game2.86
14%Win rate93%
-14Goal difference31
2Form, last 5 (pts)15
Macva form
No recent matches.
FK Crvena Zvezda form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Macva
0
Draw
0
FK
These sides haven't met recently.
Super Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FK Crvena Zvezda14+3140
2Vojvodina13+1629
3Železničar Pančevo13+1026
4IMT Novi Beograd13+621
5Radnicki 192313+320
6Cukaricki13-118
7Mladost Lucani13-618
8Radnik Surdulica13017
9Novi Pazar13-116
10FK Partizan13-314
Match preview
Our model makes FK Crvena Zvezda clear favourites, giving them a 84% chance of winning against 12% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.20 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.1 goals in total (0.48 for Macva, 2.67 for FK Crvena Zvezda), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Macva sit 12th on 10 points; FK Crvena Zvezda are 1st on 40.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.