Over 1.5 goals@1.39
Over 1.5
72%
AUSA-League · Matchday 3Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Campbelltown Stadium
Macarthur
3rd · 5 pts0–1FULL TIME
Western Sydney Wanderers
2nd · 5 pts45% Macarthur
26% Draw
29% Western
OUR PICK
Macarthur to win
Model probability 45% · fair odds
2.24
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.10
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.24X3.7923.45
Goals 2.5Over2.05Under1.86
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.93
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.86
Under 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.97
GG
51%
Double chance@1.36
12
74%
Season stats
MacarthurWestern Sydney Wanderers1.0Goals per game1.7
0.7Conceded per game0.7
1.67Points per game1.67
33%Win rate33%
1Goal difference3
5Form, last 5 (pts)5
Macarthur form
No recent matches.
Western Sydney Wanderers form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Macarthur
0
Draw
0
Western
These sides haven't met recently.
A-League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Wellington Phoenix3+69
2Western Sydney Wanderers3+35
3Macarthur3+15
4Brisbane Roar2+14
5Sydney304
6Auckland3-14
7Melbourne City3-14
8Melbourne Victory3-12
9Central Coast Mariners3-22
10Newcastle Jets3-32
Match preview
Our model makes Macarthur slight favourites, giving them a 45% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.24 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.43 for Macarthur, 1.10 for Western Sydney Wanderers), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Macarthur sit 3rd on 5 points; Western Sydney Wanderers are 2nd on 5.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.