Over 1.5 goals@1.47
Over 1.5
68%
AUSA-League · Matchday 1Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Campbelltown Stadium
Macarthur
3rd · 5 pts2–1FULL TIME
Perth Glory
8th · 3 pts33% Macarthur
28% Draw
39% Perth
OUR PICK
Perth Glory to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.57
Expected goals
1.11 – 1.23
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.03X3.5722.57
Goals 2.5Over2.30Under1.71
Both scoreGG2.01NG1.90
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.71
Under 2.5
59%
Both teams to score@1.90
NG
53%
Double chance@1.39
12
72%
Season stats
MacarthurPerth Glory1.0Goals per game2.0
0.7Conceded per game1.3
1.67Points per game1.00
33%Win rate33%
1Goal difference2
5Form, last 5 (pts)3
Macarthur form
DDWDWH Western Sydney Wanderers0–0
A Newcastle Jets1–1
H Perth Glory2–1
A SD Raiders1–1
A Uni Azzurri0–3
Perth Glory form
WLLLWH Adelaide United4–0
A Brisbane Roar2–1
A Macarthur2–1
H Adelaide United1–3
H Adelaide United2–0
Head to head
2
Macarthur
1
Draw
2
Perth
Oct 2026Macarthur – Perth Glory2–1
Apr 2026Perth Glory – Macarthur3–1
Feb 2026Macarthur – Perth Glory2–2
Nov 2025Macarthur – Perth Glory0–2
Dec 2024Perth Glory – Macarthur0–3
A-League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Wellington Phoenix3+69
2Western Sydney Wanderers3+35
3Macarthur3+15
4Brisbane Roar2+14
5Sydney304
6Auckland3-14
7Melbourne City3-14
8Perth Glory3+23
9Melbourne Victory3-12
10Central Coast Mariners3-22
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Macarthur 33%, the draw 28%, Perth Glory 39%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.57 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (1.11 for Macarthur, 1.23 for Perth Glory), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Macarthur sit 3rd on 5 points; Perth Glory are 8th on 3.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.