Over 1.5 goals@1.16
Over 1.5
86%
NOR2. Division - Group 1 · Matchday 22Sunday, 4 October 2026 · Lysekloster Family Arena
Lysekloster
12th · 22 pts3–3FULL TIME
jerv
1st · 59 pts15% Lysekloster
18% Draw
68% jerv
OUR PICK
jerv to win
Model probability 68% · fair odds
1.48
Expected goals
1.04 – 2.42
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X216.85X5.6421.48
Goals 2.5Over1.49Under2.86
Both scoreGG1.70NG2.30
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.49
Over 2.5
67%
Both teams to score@1.70
GG
59%
Double chance@1.17
X2
85%
Season stats
Lyseklosterjerv1.3Goals per game2.3
2.2Conceded per game1.2
0.85Points per game2.27
19%Win rate69%
-21Goal difference30
8Form, last 5 (pts)8
Lysekloster form
LWDWDH Sotra1–4
A Vidar0–2
H Træff3–3
A Eik-Tønsberg1–3
H jerv3–3
jerv form
WLWDDH Eik-Tønsberg7–0
A Bjarg4–0
H Sotra4–3
H Arendal2–2
A Lysekloster3–3
Head to head
4
Lysekloster
1
Draw
0
jerv
Oct 2026Lysekloster – jerv3–3
Jul 2026jerv – Lysekloster1–2
Aug 2025jerv – Lysekloster0–1
Jun 2025Lysekloster – jerv3–0
Sept 2024Lysekloster – jerv3–0
2. Division - Group 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1jerv26+3059
2Bjarg26+2954
3Mjondalen26+1653
4Brattvåg26+2051
5Sotra26+3048
6Notodden26+838
7Træff26-638
8Kvik Halden26+137
9Arendal26-631
10Pors Grenland26-530
Match preview
Our model makes jerv clear favourites, giving them a 68% chance of winning against 18% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.48 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.5 goals in total (1.04 for Lysekloster, 2.42 for jerv), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Lysekloster sit 12th on 22 points; jerv are 1st on 59.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.