Over 1.5 goals@1.28
Over 1.5
78%
FRALigue 1 · Matchday 9Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Groupama Stadium
Lyon
3rd · 17 pts2–0FULL TIME
Angers
15th · 8 pts66% Lyon
20% Draw
14% Angers
OUR PICK
Lyon to win
Model probability 66% · fair odds
1.51
Expected goals
2.06 – 0.81
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.51X5.0227.29
Goals 2.5Over1.83Under2.10
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.94
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.83
Over 2.5
55%
Both teams to score@1.94
NG
52%
Double chance@1.16
1X
86%
Season stats
LyonAngers1.7Goals per game1.0
0.8Conceded per game1.9
1.89Points per game0.89
56%Win rate22%
8Goal difference-8
9Form, last 5 (pts)4
Lyon form
WLLWWH Angers2–0
A Paris Saint Germain2–0
A 1899 Hoffenheim3–0
H Nice2–1
H Crystal Palace3–2
Angers form
LDLLWA Lyon2–0
H Lorient0–0
H Marseille2–5
A Stade Brestois 295–1
H Estac Troyes2–0
Head to head
4
Lyon
1
Draw
0
Angers
Nov 2026Lyon – Angers2–0
Apr 2026Angers – Lyon0–0
Sept 2025Lyon – Angers1–0
May 2025Lyon – Angers2–0
Dec 2024Angers – Lyon0–3
Ligue 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Paris Saint Germain9+1120
2Lille9+618
3Lyon9+817
4Paris FC9+617
5Rennes9+116
6Marseille9+715
7Monaco9+215
8Nice9+114
9Lens9+313
10Lorient8+112
Match preview
Our model makes Lyon clear favourites, giving them a 66% chance of winning against 20% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.51 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (2.06 for Lyon, 0.81 for Angers), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Lyon sit 3rd on 17 points; Angers are 15th on 8.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.