Over 1.5 goals@1.24
Over 1.5
80%
DENSuperliga · Matchday 13Friday, 30 October 2026 · Lyngby Stadion
Lyngby
11th · 11 pts2–1FULL TIME
Randers FC
10th · 11 pts45% Lyngby
24% Draw
31% Randers
OUR PICK
Lyngby to win
Model probability 45% · fair odds
2.24
Expected goals
1.66 – 1.36
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.24X4.1823.18
Goals 2.5Over1.72Under2.25
Both scoreGG1.66NG2.36
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.72
Over 2.5
58%
Both teams to score@1.66
GG
60%
Double chance@1.31
12
76%
Season stats
LyngbyRanders FC1.5Goals per game1.0
2.2Conceded per game1.6
0.85Points per game0.85
15%Win rate23%
-9Goal difference-8
4Form, last 5 (pts)1
Lyngby form
WLDLLH Randers FC2–1
A FC Midtjylland3–2
H FC Nordsjaelland3–3
A Brondby5–2
H Hvidovre3–4
Randers FC form
LLDLLA Lyngby2–1
H Brondby1–3
A AC Horsens0–0
H Viborg0–2
H Aalborg0–1
Head to head
2
Lyngby
2
Draw
1
Randers
Oct 2026Lyngby – Randers FC2–1
Aug 2026Randers FC – Lyngby2–0
Feb 2025Lyngby – Randers FC0–0
Oct 2024Randers FC – Lyngby1–1
May 2024Lyngby – Randers FC2–1
Superliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Midtjylland13+1231
2FC Copenhagen12+1426
3Viborg13+823
4Brondby13+322
5FC Nordsjaelland13+320
6Odense13-217
7AC Horsens13+216
8Aarhus13-412
9Silkeborg13-712
10Randers FC13-811
Match preview
Our model makes Lyngby slight favourites, giving them a 45% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.24 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.66 for Lyngby, 1.36 for Randers FC), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Lyngby sit 11th on 11 points; Randers FC are 10th on 11.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.