Over 1.5 goals@1.15
Over 1.5
87%
NOR1. Division · Matchday 25Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Bislett Stadium
Lyn
11th · 34 pts1–5FULL TIME
Stromsgodset
2nd · 63 pts19% Lyn
19% Draw
61% Stromsgodset
OUR PICK
Stromsgodset to win
Model probability 61% · fair odds
1.63
Expected goals
1.23 – 2.30
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X215.16X5.1721.63
Goals 2.5Over1.46Under2.95
Both scoreGG1.57NG2.62
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.46
Over 2.5
68%
Both teams to score@1.57
GG
64%
Double chance@1.24
12
81%
Season stats
LynStromsgodset1.6Goals per game2.7
2.0Conceded per game1.2
1.17Points per game2.17
34%Win rate66%
-13Goal difference45
6Form, last 5 (pts)12
Lyn form
WWLWLH Raufoss4–0
A Tromsdalen Uil1–3
A Sandnes ULF2–1
H Moss1–0
A Haugesund3–0
Stromsgodset form
WLLWWH Moss3–0
A Molde4–1
A Strommen1–0
H Haugesund5–0
H Kongsvinger5–1
Head to head
0
Lyn
1
Draw
1
Stromsgodset
Oct 2026Lyn – Stromsgodset1–5
Jul 2026Stromsgodset – Lyn1–1
1. Division table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Haugesund29+3665
2Stromsgodset29+4563
3Kongsvinger29+3659
4Stabaek29+3358
5ODD Ballklubb29+1146
6Bryne29+243
7Ranheim29+441
8Egersund29-938
9hodd29-1038
10Strommen29-1236
Match preview
Our model makes Stromsgodset clear favourites, giving them a 61% chance of winning against 19% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.63 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.5 goals in total (1.23 for Lyn, 2.30 for Stromsgodset), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Lyn sit 11th on 34 points; Stromsgodset are 2nd on 63.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.