Over 1.5 goals@1.24
Over 1.5
81%
BULFirst League · Matchday 13Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Huvepharma Arena
Ludogorets
3rd · 29 pts17:30KICK-OFF WAT
CSKA 1948
4th · 28 pts48% Ludogorets
23% Draw
28% CSKA
OUR PICK
Ludogorets to win
Model probability 48% · fair odds
2.06
Expected goals
1.75 – 1.28
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.06X4.2623.56
Goals 2.5Over1.71Under2.25
Both scoreGG1.68NG2.36
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.71
Over 2.5
58%
Both teams to score@1.68
GG
60%
Double chance@1.31
12
77%
Season stats
LudogoretsCSKA 19482.0Goals per game2.4
0.8Conceded per game1.1
2.42Points per game2.15
75%Win rate69%
15Goal difference17
12Form, last 5 (pts)12
Ludogorets form
WLWWWA Lokomotiv Plovdiv0–3
A CSKA Sofia2–0
A Beroe0–3
H Arda Kardzhali5–0
H Cherno More Varna5–0
CSKA 1948 form
WWWLWH Spartak Varna6–1
H Botev Plovdiv4–0
A Neftochimic Burgas0–4
H CSKA Sofia2–3
A Slavia Sofia1–2
Head to head
0
Ludogorets
0
Draw
0
CSKA
These sides haven't met recently.
First League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Levski Sofia12+2032
2CSKA Sofia13+2031
3Ludogorets12+1529
4CSKA 194813+1728
5Botev Plovdiv13+222
6Arda Kardzhali12-218
7Slavia Sofia13013
8Spartak Varna13-1113
9Cherno More Varna13-812
10Dunav Ruse13-711
Match preview
Our model makes Ludogorets slight favourites, giving them a 48% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.06 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.75 for Ludogorets, 1.28 for CSKA 1948), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Ludogorets sit 3rd on 29 points; CSKA 1948 are 4th on 28.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.