Over 1.5 goals@1.50
Over 1.5
66%
USAUSL Championship · Group StageSaturday, 24 October 2026 · Lynn Family Stadium
Louisville City
4th · 47 pts0–0FULL TIME
Detroit City
3rd · 51 pts35% Louisville
29% Draw
36% Detroit
OUR PICK
Detroit City to win
Model probability 36% · fair odds
2.76
Expected goals
1.13 – 1.15
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.84X3.5122.76
Goals 2.5Over2.36Under1.66
Both scoreGG2.05NG1.86
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.66
Under 2.5
60%
Both teams to score@1.86
NG
54%
Double chance@1.40
12
71%
Season stats
Louisville CityDetroit City1.7Goals per game1.1
1.4Conceded per game0.7
1.57Points per game1.70
43%Win rate47%
8Goal difference13
13Form, last 5 (pts)7
Louisville City form
WDWWWH Pittsburgh Riverhounds1–0
H Detroit City0–0
A Sporting JAX0–2
H Indy Eleven4–1
A Charleston Battery0–2
Detroit City form
LDLWWH Hartford Athletic1–2
A Louisville City0–0
A Tampa Bay Rowdies1–0
H Rhode Island1–0
H Birmingham Legion1–0
Head to head
0
Louisville
0
Draw
0
Detroit
These sides haven't met recently.
USL Championship table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies30+2661
2Charleston Battery30+2153
3Detroit City30+1351
4Louisville City30+847
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds30+345
6Hartford Athletic30+243
7Rhode Island30+942
8Miami FC30-1036
9Indy Eleven30-634
10Loudoun United30-1031
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Louisville City 35%, the draw 29%, Detroit City 36%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.76 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (1.13 for Louisville City, 1.15 for Detroit City), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Louisville City sit 4th on 47 points; Detroit City are 3rd on 51.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.