Over 1.5 goals@1.24
Over 1.5
81%
USAUSL Championship · Group StageSaturday, 24 October 2026 · Segra Field
Loudoun United
10th · 31 pts4–3FULL TIME
Brooklyn
12th · 21 pts56% Loudoun
22% Draw
22% Brooklyn
OUR PICK
Loudoun United to win
Model probability 56% · fair odds
1.78
Expected goals
1.92 – 1.11
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.78X4.5224.61
Goals 2.5Over1.71Under2.25
Both scoreGG1.75NG2.19
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.71
Over 2.5
58%
Both teams to score@1.75
GG
57%
Double chance@1.28
1X
78%
Season stats
Loudoun UnitedBrooklyn1.3Goals per game1.1
1.6Conceded per game2.1
1.03Points per game0.70
20%Win rate17%
-10Goal difference-29
8Form, last 5 (pts)3
Loudoun United form
WDLWDH Brooklyn4–3
A Birmingham Legion0–0
A Rhode Island1–0
A Miami FC0–2
H Indy Eleven1–1
Brooklyn form
LLWLLA Loudoun United4–3
H Birmingham Legion1–2
A Hartford Athletic2–3
H Rhode Island1–3
H Detroit City1–3
Head to head
2
Loudoun
0
Draw
1
Brooklyn
Oct 2026Loudoun United – Brooklyn4–3
May 2026Brooklyn – Loudoun United0–1
Feb 2026Brooklyn – Loudoun United1–0
USL Championship table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies30+2661
2Charleston Battery30+2153
3Detroit City30+1351
4Louisville City30+847
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds30+345
6Hartford Athletic30+243
7Rhode Island30+942
8Miami FC30-1036
9Indy Eleven30-634
10Loudoun United30-1031
Match preview
Our model makes Loudoun United clear favourites, giving them a 56% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.78 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.92 for Loudoun United, 1.11 for Brooklyn), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Loudoun United sit 10th on 31 points; Brooklyn are 12th on 21.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.