Over 1.5 goals@1.17
Over 1.5
86%
USAMajor League Soccer · Matchday 30Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Dignity Health Sports Park
Los Angeles Galaxy
7th · 44 pts2–2FULL TIME
San Diego
13th · 38 pts46% Los
22% Draw
32% San
OUR PICK
Los Angeles Galaxy to win
Model probability 46% · fair odds
2.18
Expected goals
1.89 – 1.55
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.18X4.5023.13
Goals 2.5Over1.50Under2.86
Both scoreGG1.50NG2.86
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.50
Over 2.5
67%
Both teams to score@1.50
GG
67%
Double chance@1.29
12
78%
Season stats
Los Angeles GalaxySan Diego1.5Goals per game1.7
1.7Conceded per game1.9
1.33Points per game1.15
33%Win rate27%
-6Goal difference-5
8Form, last 5 (pts)6
Los Angeles Galaxy form
WDDWLH Austin4–1
A Los Angeles FC2–2
H San Diego2–2
H Portland Timbers2–0
A St. Louis City6–2
San Diego form
WLDDDA St. Louis City0–1
A Vancouver Whitecaps4–1
H Seattle Sounders2–2
A Los Angeles Galaxy2–2
H Houston Dynamo3–3
Head to head
0
Los
1
Draw
3
San
Oct 2026Los Angeles Galaxy – San Diego2–2
Aug 2026San Diego – Los Angeles Galaxy3–1
May 2025San Diego – Los Angeles Galaxy2–1
Feb 2025Los Angeles Galaxy – San Diego0–2
Major League Soccer table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps33+3861
2FC Dallas33+955
3San Jose Earthquakes33+852
4St. Louis City33+1051
5Houston Dynamo33+151
6Los Angeles FC33+1347
7Los Angeles Galaxy33-644
8Portland Timbers33-143
9Colorado Rapids33-143
10Seattle Sounders33-343
Match preview
Our model makes Los Angeles Galaxy slight favourites, giving them a 46% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.18 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.4 goals in total (1.89 for Los Angeles Galaxy, 1.55 for San Diego), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Los Angeles Galaxy sit 7th on 44 points; San Diego are 13th on 38.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.