Over 1.5 goals@1.15
Over 1.5
87%
USAMajor League Soccer · Matchday 29Thursday, 15 October 2026 · Dignity Health Sports Park
Los Angeles Galaxy
7th · 44 pts2–0FULL TIME
Portland Timbers
12th · 40 pts43% Los
22% Draw
35% Portland
OUR PICK
Los Angeles Galaxy to win
Model probability 43% · fair odds
2.33
Expected goals
1.89 – 1.70
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.33X4.5722.84
Goals 2.5Over1.44Under3.14
Both scoreGG1.44NG3.04
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.44
Over 2.5
70%
Both teams to score@1.44
GG
69%
Double chance@1.28
12
78%
Season stats
Los Angeles GalaxyPortland Timbers1.5Goals per game1.8
1.7Conceded per game1.9
1.33Points per game1.25
33%Win rate34%
-6Goal difference-3
8Form, last 5 (pts)8
Los Angeles Galaxy form
WDDWLH Austin4–1
A Los Angeles FC2–2
H San Diego2–2
H Portland Timbers2–0
A St. Louis City6–2
Portland Timbers form
WWWDLH Houston Dynamo1–0
A St. Louis City2–3
H Charlotte3–2
H Colorado Rapids0–0
A Los Angeles Galaxy2–0
Head to head
2
Los
2
Draw
1
Portland
Oct 2026Los Angeles Galaxy – Portland Timbers2–0
Mar 2026Portland Timbers – Los Angeles Galaxy1–1
Jan 2026Los Angeles Galaxy – Portland Timbers1–0
Apr 2025Los Angeles Galaxy – Portland Timbers2–4
Mar 2025Portland Timbers – Los Angeles Galaxy1–1
Major League Soccer table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps33+3861
2FC Dallas33+955
3San Jose Earthquakes33+852
4St. Louis City33+1051
5Houston Dynamo32+351
6Los Angeles FC33+1347
7Los Angeles Galaxy33-644
8Colorado Rapids33-143
9Seattle Sounders33-343
10Real Salt Lake33042
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Los Angeles Galaxy 43%, the draw 22%, Portland Timbers 35%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.33 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.6 goals in total (1.89 for Los Angeles Galaxy, 1.70 for Portland Timbers), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Los Angeles Galaxy sit 7th on 44 points; Portland Timbers are 12th on 40.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.