Over 1.5 goals@1.24
Over 1.5
80%
USAMajor League Soccer · Matchday 33Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Dignity Health Sports Park
Los Angeles Galaxy
7th · 44 pts4–1FULL TIME
Austin
14th · 34 pts51% Los
23% Draw
26% Austin
OUR PICK
Los Angeles Galaxy to win
Model probability 51% · fair odds
1.96
Expected goals
1.80 – 1.22
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.96X4.3223.86
Goals 2.5Over1.72Under2.25
Both scoreGG1.70NG2.30
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.72
Over 2.5
58%
Both teams to score@1.70
GG
59%
Double chance@1.30
12
77%
Season stats
Los Angeles GalaxyAustin1.5Goals per game1.3
1.7Conceded per game1.9
1.33Points per game1.03
33%Win rate24%
-6Goal difference-21
8Form, last 5 (pts)3
Los Angeles Galaxy form
No recent matches.
Austin form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Los
0
Draw
0
Austin
These sides haven't met recently.
Major League Soccer table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps32+3458
2FC Dallas33+955
3San Jose Earthquakes33+852
4St. Louis City33+1051
5Houston Dynamo32+351
6Los Angeles FC32+1547
7Los Angeles Galaxy33-644
8Colorado Rapids33-143
9Seattle Sounders32+143
10Real Salt Lake33042
Match preview
Our model makes Los Angeles Galaxy slight favourites, giving them a 51% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.96 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.80 for Los Angeles Galaxy, 1.22 for Austin), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Los Angeles Galaxy sit 7th on 44 points; Austin are 14th on 34.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.