Over 1.5 goals@1.40
Over 1.5
72%
USAMajor League Soccer · Matchday 28Sunday, 11 October 2026 · BMO Stadium
Los Angeles FC
6th · 47 pts1–1FULL TIME
Vancouver Whitecaps
1st · 58 pts34% Los
27% Draw
39% Vancouver
OUR PICK
Vancouver Whitecaps to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.54
Expected goals
1.20 – 1.32
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.96X3.7322.54
Goals 2.5Over2.05Under1.86
Both scoreGG1.95NG1.93
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.86
Under 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.95
GG
51%
Double chance@1.37
12
73%
Season stats
Los Angeles FCVancouver Whitecaps1.6Goals per game2.1
1.1Conceded per game1.0
1.47Points per game1.81
38%Win rate53%
15Goal difference34
6Form, last 5 (pts)8
Los Angeles FC form
DDWDLH Los Angeles Galaxy2–2
A New York City FC1–1
H Austin3–1
H Vancouver Whitecaps1–1
A FC Dallas1–0
Vancouver Whitecaps form
WWLWDH Seattle Sounders5–1
H San Diego4–1
A Colorado Rapids1–0
A Austin1–2
A St. Louis City0–0
Head to head
0
Los
4
Draw
1
Vancouver
Oct 2026Los Angeles FC – Vancouver Whitecaps1–1
Aug 2026Vancouver Whitecaps – Los Angeles FC1–1
Nov 2025Vancouver Whitecaps – Los Angeles FC2–2
Jun 2025Los Angeles FC – Vancouver Whitecaps0–1
May 2025Vancouver Whitecaps – Los Angeles FC2–2
Major League Soccer table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps32+3458
2FC Dallas33+955
3San Jose Earthquakes33+852
4St. Louis City33+1051
5Houston Dynamo32+351
6Los Angeles FC32+1547
7Los Angeles Galaxy33-644
8Colorado Rapids33-143
9Seattle Sounders32+143
10Real Salt Lake33042
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Los Angeles FC 34%, the draw 27%, Vancouver Whitecaps 39%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.54 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.20 for Los Angeles FC, 1.32 for Vancouver Whitecaps), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Los Angeles FC sit 6th on 47 points; Vancouver Whitecaps are 1st on 58.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.