Over 1.5 goals@1.28
Over 1.5
78%
USAMajor League Soccer · Matchday 33Monday, 2 November 2026 · Banc of California Stadium
Los Angeles FC
6th · 47 pts0–0LIVE 4'
Minnesota United FC
13th · 38 pts58% Los
22% Draw
20% Minnesota
OUR PICK
Los Angeles FC to win
Model probability 58% · fair odds
1.73
Expected goals
1.88 – 1.00
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.73X4.4825.06
Goals 2.5Over1.82Under2.10
Both scoreGG1.87NG2.05
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.82
Over 2.5
55%
Both teams to score@1.87
GG
54%
Double chance@1.25
1X
80%
Season stats
Los Angeles FCMinnesota United FC1.6Goals per game1.6
1.1Conceded per game1.8
1.47Points per game1.19
38%Win rate28%
15Goal difference-6
6Form, last 5 (pts)9
Los Angeles FC form
DDWDLH Los Angeles Galaxy2–2
A New York City FC1–1
H Austin3–1
H Vancouver Whitecaps1–1
A FC Dallas1–0
Minnesota United FC form
WDWDDH Sporting Kansas City3–1
A Houston Dynamo0–0
H St. Louis City3–2
A Colorado Rapids2–2
H Houston Dynamo2–2
Head to head
0
Los
0
Draw
0
Minnesota
These sides haven't met recently.
Major League Soccer table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps33+3861
2FC Dallas33+955
3San Jose Earthquakes33+852
4St. Louis City33+1051
5Houston Dynamo32+351
6Los Angeles FC32+1547
7Los Angeles Galaxy33-644
8Colorado Rapids33-143
9Seattle Sounders33-343
10Real Salt Lake33042
Match preview
Our model makes Los Angeles FC clear favourites, giving them a 58% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.73 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (1.88 for Los Angeles FC, 1.00 for Minnesota United FC), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Los Angeles FC sit 6th on 47 points; Minnesota United FC are 13th on 38.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.