Over 1.5 goals@1.30
Over 1.5
77%
USAMajor League Soccer · Matchday 29Thursday, 15 October 2026 · BMO Stadium
Los Angeles FC
6th · 47 pts3–1FULL TIME
Austin
14th · 34 pts62% Los
22% Draw
17% Austin
OUR PICK
Los Angeles FC to win
Model probability 62% · fair odds
1.61
Expected goals
1.93 – 0.88
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.61X4.6526.05
Goals 2.5Over1.88Under2.01
Both scoreGG2.00NG1.89
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.88
Over 2.5
53%
Both teams to score@2.00
GG
50%
Double chance@1.20
1X
83%
Season stats
Los Angeles FCAustin1.5Goals per game1.3
1.2Conceded per game1.9
1.42Points per game1.03
36%Win rate24%
13Goal difference-21
6Form, last 5 (pts)3
Los Angeles FC form
DDWDLH Los Angeles Galaxy2–2
A New York City FC1–1
H Austin3–1
H Vancouver Whitecaps1–1
A FC Dallas1–0
Austin form
LLWLLA Los Angeles Galaxy4–1
H Real Salt Lake1–2
A Sporting Kansas City1–2
H Vancouver Whitecaps1–2
A Los Angeles FC3–1
Head to head
3
Los
1
Draw
1
Austin
Oct 2026Los Angeles FC – Austin3–1
Mar 2026Austin – Los Angeles FC0–0
Nov 2025Austin – Los Angeles FC1–4
Oct 2025Los Angeles FC – Austin2–1
Oct 2025Austin – Los Angeles FC1–0
Major League Soccer table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps33+3861
2FC Dallas33+955
3San Jose Earthquakes33+852
4St. Louis City33+1051
5Houston Dynamo32+351
6Los Angeles FC33+1347
7Los Angeles Galaxy33-644
8Colorado Rapids33-143
9Seattle Sounders33-343
10Real Salt Lake33042
Match preview
Our model makes Los Angeles FC clear favourites, giving them a 62% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.61 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.93 for Los Angeles FC, 0.88 for Austin), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Los Angeles FC sit 6th on 47 points; Austin are 14th on 34.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.