Over 1.5 goals@1.61
Over 1.5
62%
BRASerie B · Matchday 34Tuesday, 20 October 2026 · Estadio do Cafe
Londrina
18th · 32 pts1–0FULL TIME
Cuiaba
13th · 47 pts32% Londrina
30% Draw
38% Cuiaba
OUR PICK
Cuiaba to win
Model probability 38% · fair odds
2.64
Expected goals
1.00 – 1.11
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.10X3.3522.64
Goals 2.5Over2.70Under1.55
Both scoreGG2.25NG1.74
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.55
Under 2.5
65%
Both teams to score@1.74
NG
58%
Double chance@1.42
12
70%
Season stats
LondrinaCuiaba1.3Goals per game0.9
1.5Conceded per game0.8
0.89Points per game1.34
22%Win rate31%
-9Goal difference4
4Form, last 5 (pts)4
Londrina form
LLWDLH America Mineiro1–3
A CRB2–1
H Cuiaba1–0
A Athletic Club2–2
A Avai2–1
Cuiaba form
LLLLDH São Bernardo1–2
A America Mineiro1–0
A Londrina1–0
H Avai0–1
A Vila Nova0–0
Head to head
0
Londrina
0
Draw
0
Cuiaba
These sides haven't met recently.
Serie B table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Juventude36+2265
2Novorizontino35+3264
3Vila Nova36+1463
4Criciuma36+862
5Fortaleza EC35+1261
6CRB35+455
7Sport Recife36+955
8Atletico Goianiense35+954
9Goias35-452
10Operario-PR35-151
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Londrina 32%, the draw 30%, Cuiaba 38%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.64 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.1 goals in total (1.00 for Londrina, 1.11 for Cuiaba), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Londrina sit 18th on 32 points; Cuiaba are 13th on 47.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.