Over 1.5 goals@1.53
Over 1.5
66%
BRASerie B · Matchday 31Friday, 2 October 2026 · Estadio Vitorino Goncalves Dias
Londrina
18th · 32 pts0–2FULL TIME
Criciuma
4th · 62 pts34% Londrina
29% Draw
38% Criciuma
OUR PICK
Criciuma to win
Model probability 38% · fair odds
2.66
Expected goals
1.08 – 1.16
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.98X3.4722.66
Goals 2.5Over2.42Under1.63
Both scoreGG2.10NG1.83
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.63
Under 2.5
61%
Both teams to score@1.83
NG
55%
Double chance@1.40
12
71%
Season stats
LondrinaCriciuma1.3Goals per game1.1
1.5Conceded per game0.8
0.89Points per game1.72
22%Win rate50%
-9Goal difference8
4Form, last 5 (pts)9
Londrina form
LLWDLH America Mineiro1–3
A CRB2–1
H Cuiaba1–0
A Athletic Club2–2
A Avai2–1
Criciuma form
WLWWLH Ponte Preta2–0
A Sport Recife2–1
A São Bernardo0–1
H America Mineiro1–0
A Ceara1–0
Head to head
0
Londrina
2
Draw
3
Criciuma
Oct 2026Londrina – Criciuma0–2
Jun 2026Criciuma – Londrina1–0
Aug 2023Criciuma – Londrina2–0
May 2023Londrina – Criciuma1–1
Jul 2022Londrina – Criciuma1–1
Serie B table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Novorizontino36+3367
2Juventude36+2265
3Vila Nova36+1463
4Criciuma36+862
5Fortaleza EC36+1262
6CRB36+355
7Goias36-355
8Sport Recife36+955
9Atletico Goianiense36+955
10São Bernardo36+1152
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Londrina 34%, the draw 29%, Criciuma 38%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.66 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.2 goals in total (1.08 for Londrina, 1.16 for Criciuma), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Londrina sit 18th on 32 points; Criciuma are 4th on 62.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.