Over 1.5 goals@1.54
Over 1.5
65%
BELJupiler Pro League · Matchday 10Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Soevereinstadion
Lommel United
8th · 12 pts18:30KICK-OFF WAT
Gent
3rd · 25 pts19% Lommel
27% Draw
54% Gent
OUR PICK
Gent to win
Model probability 54% · fair odds
1.85
Expected goals
0.75 – 1.46
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X215.20X3.7421.85
Goals 2.5Over2.48Under1.61
Both scoreGG2.30NG1.68
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.61
Under 2.5
62%
Both teams to score@1.68
NG
59%
Double chance@1.24
X2
81%
Season stats
Lommel UnitedGent1.2Goals per game2.1
1.2Conceded per game0.4
1.33Points per game2.78
33%Win rate89%
0Goal difference15
5Form, last 5 (pts)13
Lommel United form
DLWWDA OH Leuven2–2
A St. Truiden4–1
A SK Beveren1–3
A Diksmuide0–2
H KV Mechelen0–0
Gent form
WLDWWH Anderlecht4–0
A SC Braga2–0
A Rochefort3–3
H Aarhus1–0
A Zulte Waregem0–2
Head to head
0
Lommel
0
Draw
1
Gent
Dec 2021Lommel United – Gent0–2
Jupiler Pro League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Club Brugge KV10+1827
2Union St. Gilloise10+2226
3Gent9+1525
4Charleroi9+621
5Anderlecht10+219
6Genk10+415
7KVC Westerlo10014
8Lommel United9012
9Standard Liege10-112
10Zulte Waregem10-411
Match preview
Our model makes Gent clear favourites, giving them a 54% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.85 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.2 goals in total (0.75 for Lommel United, 1.46 for Gent), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Lommel United sit 8th on 12 points; Gent are 3rd on 25.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.