Over 1.5 goals@2.16
Over 1.5
46%
COLPrimera A · Clausura - 9Wednesday, 21 October 2026 · Estadio Bello Horizonte
Llaneros
14th · 22 pts0–3FULL TIME
Deportivo Cali
9th · 27 pts36% Llaneros
36% Draw
28% Deportivo
OUR PICK
Llaneros to win
Model probability 36% · fair odds
2.76
Expected goals
0.85 – 0.71
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.76X2.8023.56
Goals 2.5Over4.49Under1.26
Both scoreGG3.25NG1.41
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.26
Under 2.5
79%
Both teams to score@1.41
NG
71%
Double chance@1.39
1X
72%
Season stats
LlanerosDeportivo Cali0.9Goals per game1.1
1.1Conceded per game0.8
1.16Points per game1.42
21%Win rate37%
-3Goal difference4
6Form, last 5 (pts)9
Llaneros form
WLLWLH Junior3–2
A Jaguares1–0
H Deportivo Cali0–3
H Santa Fe1–0
A Internacional de Bogota4–1
Deportivo Cali form
WDWDDH Chico2–0
A Fortaleza FC1–1
A Llaneros0–3
H Junior0–0
A Deportivo Pereira0–0
Head to head
1
Llaneros
1
Draw
2
Deportivo
Oct 2026Llaneros – Deportivo Cali0–3
Apr 2026Deportivo Cali – Llaneros1–1
Aug 2025Deportivo Cali – Llaneros0–3
Feb 2025Llaneros – Deportivo Cali0–1
Primera A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Atletico Nacional19+2040
2Junior19+735
3Deportivo Pasto19+434
4America de Cali19+1033
5Once Caldas19+933
6Deportes Tolima19+1031
7Santa Fe19+729
8Internacional de Bogota19028
9Deportivo Cali19+427
10Millonarios19+826
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Llaneros 36%, the draw 36%, Deportivo Cali 28%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.76 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.6 goals in total (0.85 for Llaneros, 0.71 for Deportivo Cali), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Llaneros sit 14th on 22 points; Deportivo Cali are 9th on 27.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.