Over 1.5 goals@2.01
Over 1.5
50%
COLPrimera A · Clausura - 13Monday, 5 October 2026 · Estadio Bello Horizonte
Llaneros
14th · 22 pts1–2FULL TIME
America de Cali
4th · 33 pts27% Llaneros
34% Draw
39% America
OUR PICK
America de Cali to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.58
Expected goals
0.73 – 0.94
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.70X2.9322.58
Goals 2.5Over4.10Under1.31
Both scoreGG2.95NG1.46
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.31
Under 2.5
77%
Both teams to score@1.46
NG
68%
Double chance@1.37
X2
73%
Season stats
LlanerosAmerica de Cali0.9Goals per game1.3
1.1Conceded per game0.8
1.16Points per game1.74
21%Win rate53%
-3Goal difference10
6Form, last 5 (pts)10
Llaneros form
WLLWLH Junior3–2
A Jaguares1–0
H Deportivo Cali0–3
H Santa Fe1–0
A Internacional de Bogota4–1
America de Cali form
WWWDLH Fortaleza FC2–1
H Cucuta3–1
A Barranquilla0–4
A Bucaramanga1–1
H Independiente Medellin1–2
Head to head
0
Llaneros
3
Draw
2
America
Oct 2026Llaneros – America de Cali1–2
Mar 2026America de Cali – Llaneros0–0
Jul 2025Llaneros – America de Cali0–0
Jan 2025America de Cali – Llaneros4–3
Aug 2016Llaneros – America de Cali1–1
Primera A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Atletico Nacional19+2040
2Junior19+735
3Deportivo Pasto19+434
4America de Cali19+1033
5Once Caldas19+933
6Deportes Tolima19+1031
7Santa Fe19+729
8Internacional de Bogota19028
9Deportivo Cali19+427
10Millonarios19+826
Match preview
Our model makes America de Cali slight favourites, giving them a 39% chance of winning against 34% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.58 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.7 goals in total (0.73 for Llaneros, 0.94 for America de Cali), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Llaneros sit 14th on 22 points; America de Cali are 4th on 33.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.