Over 1.5 goals@1.18
Over 1.5
85%
SWESuperettan · Matchday 27Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Skarsjövallen
Ljungskile SK
11th · 34 pts2–0FULL TIME
IK brage
15th · 26 pts50% Ljungskile
22% Draw
28% IK
OUR PICK
Ljungskile SK to win
Model probability 50% · fair odds
2.00
Expected goals
1.94 – 1.41
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.00X4.5323.57
Goals 2.5Over1.54Under2.70
Both scoreGG1.55NG2.70
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.54
Over 2.5
65%
Both teams to score@1.55
GG
65%
Double chance@1.28
12
78%
Season stats
Ljungskile SKIK brage1.3Goals per game1.6
1.4Conceded per game2.0
1.17Points per game0.90
28%Win rate21%
-1Goal difference-11
6Form, last 5 (pts)3
Ljungskile SK form
DDWDLA Varbergs BoIS FC2–2
A Helsingborg1–1
H IK brage2–0
A Orebro SK1–1
A GIF Sundsvall3–2
IK brage form
LLLWDA Oddevold2–1
H Osters IF4–5
A Ljungskile SK2–0
H Helsingborg2–0
H Degerfors IF1–1
Head to head
2
Ljungskile
1
Draw
1
IK
Oct 2026Ljungskile SK – IK brage2–0
Jun 2026IK brage – Ljungskile SK2–2
Oct 2020IK brage – Ljungskile SK0–1
Jul 2020Ljungskile SK – IK brage1–3
Superettan table
#TeamGPGDPts
1IFK Norrkoping29+4365
2Falkenbergs FF29+1554
3Varbergs BoIS FC29+1148
4Ostersunds FK29+948
5Landskrona BoIS29+1447
6Oddevold29+1245
7Osters IF29+445
8United Nordic29-442
9Sandviken29+538
10IFK Varnamo29-1035
Match preview
Our model makes Ljungskile SK slight favourites, giving them a 50% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.00 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.3 goals in total (1.94 for Ljungskile SK, 1.41 for IK brage), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Ljungskile SK sit 11th on 34 points; IK brage are 15th on 26.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.