Over 1.5 goals@1.95
Over 1.5
51%
SCOChampionship · Matchday 10Saturday, 10 October 2026 · The Home of the Set Fare Arena
Livingston
5th · 20 pts1–2FULL TIME
Partick
1st · 25 pts35% Livingston
34% Draw
31% Partick
OUR PICK
Livingston to win
Model probability 35% · fair odds
2.88
Expected goals
0.89 – 0.83
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.88X2.9623.18
Goals 2.5Over3.77Under1.33
Both scoreGG2.86NG1.50
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.33
Under 2.5
75%
Both teams to score@1.50
NG
67%
Double chance@1.46
1X
69%
Season stats
LivingstonPartick1.4Goals per game1.3
0.8Conceded per game0.5
1.54Points per game1.92
46%Win rate54%
7Goal difference10
7Form, last 5 (pts)10
Livingston form
WWDLLA Stenhousemuir0–3
H Arbroath1–0
A Dunfermline0–0
H Partick1–2
H Ayr Utd1–2
Partick form
LWDWWH Morton2–3
H Stenhousemuir3–0
A Dunfermline1–1
A Ayr Utd0–1
A Livingston1–2
Head to head
2
Livingston
1
Draw
2
Partick
Oct 2026Livingston – Partick1–2
Aug 2026Partick – Livingston2–0
Jul 2026Livingston – Partick1–1
May 2025Livingston – Partick2–0
May 2025Partick – Livingston0–2
Championship table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Partick13+1025
2Raith Rovers13+1124
3Dunfermline13+824
4Stenhousemuir13+123
5Livingston13+720
6Inverness CT13+119
7Ayr Utd12-115
8Arbroath13-1511
9Morton12-810
10Queen's Park13-147
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Livingston 35%, the draw 34%, Partick 31%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.88 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.7 goals in total (0.89 for Livingston, 0.83 for Partick), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Livingston sit 5th on 20 points; Partick are 1st on 25.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.