Over 1.5 goals@1.51
Over 1.5
66%
URUPrimera División · Clausura - 13Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Estadio Alfredo Victor Viera
Liverpool Montevideo
6th · 56 pts00:00KICK-OFF WAT
Juventud
9th · 41 pts54% Liverpool
26% Draw
20% Juventud
OUR PICK
Liverpool Montevideo to win
Model probability 54% · fair odds
1.85
Expected goals
1.49 – 0.78
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.85X3.8025.10
Goals 2.5Over2.36Under1.66
Both scoreGG2.25NG1.72
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.66
Under 2.5
60%
Both teams to score@1.72
NG
58%
Double chance@1.24
1X
80%
Season stats
Liverpool MontevideoJuventud1.3Goals per game1.1
0.9Conceded per game1.2
1.65Points per game1.21
44%Win rate29%
14Goal difference-4
13Form, last 5 (pts)6
Liverpool Montevideo form
No recent matches.
Juventud form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Liverpool
0
Draw
0
Juventud
These sides haven't met recently.
Primera División table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Penarol35+2465
2Deportivo Maldonado34+2262
3Atletico Torque34+1760
4Racing Montevideo35+1460
5Club Nacional34+1058
6Liverpool Montevideo34+1456
7Wanderers35-251
8Albion FC34+346
9Juventud34-441
10Central Espanol35-1341
Match preview
Our model makes Liverpool Montevideo clear favourites, giving them a 54% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.85 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (1.49 for Liverpool Montevideo, 0.78 for Juventud), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Liverpool Montevideo sit 6th on 56 points; Juventud are 9th on 41.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.