Over 1.5 goals@1.61
Over 1.5
62%
ENGPremier League · Matchday 9Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Anfield
Liverpool
5th · 15 pts0–1FULL TIME
Arsenal
1st · 24 pts31% Liverpool
30% Draw
39% Arsenal
OUR PICKSolo pick of the day
Under 2.5
Model probability 65% · fair odds
1.55
Expected goals
0.98 – 1.13
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.20X3.3622.57
Goals 2.5Over2.70Under1.55
Both scoreGG2.25NG1.73
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.55
Under 2.5
65%
Both teams to score@1.73
NG
58%
Double chance@1.42
12
70%
Season stats
LiverpoolArsenal1.2Goals per game1.6
1.0Conceded per game0.6
1.67Points per game2.67
44%Win rate89%
2Goal difference9
9Form, last 5 (pts)12
Liverpool form
LDWWWH Arsenal0–1
H Chelsea1–1
H Brighton2–0
H Villarreal4–3
A Brentford1–2
Arsenal form
WDWDWA Liverpool0–1
A Fleetwood Town1–1
H Everton2–0
A Bayern München2–2
A Nottingham Forest0–1
Head to head
1
Liverpool
3
Draw
1
Arsenal
Nov 2026Liverpool – Arsenal0–1
Jan 2026Arsenal – Liverpool0–0
Aug 2025Liverpool – Arsenal1–0
May 2025Liverpool – Arsenal2–2
Oct 2024Arsenal – Liverpool2–2
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Arsenal9+924
2Manchester City9+1021
3Brighton9+1719
4Chelsea9+416
5Liverpool9+215
6Brentford9+714
7Bournemouth9+112
8Tottenham9012
9Aston Villa9-312
10Hull City9+111
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Liverpool 31%, the draw 30%, Arsenal 39%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.57 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.1 goals in total (0.98 for Liverpool, 1.13 for Arsenal), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Liverpool sit 5th on 15 points; Arsenal are 1st on 24.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.