Over 1.5 goals@1.20
Over 1.5
83%
ENGChampionship · Matchday 10Wednesday, 14 October 2026 · Sincil Bank
Lincoln
16th · 15 pts0–6FULL TIME
West Ham
8th · 22 pts31% Lincoln
23% Draw
46% West
OUR PICK
West Ham to win
Model probability 46% · fair odds
2.16
Expected goals
1.42 – 1.79
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.26X4.3522.16
Goals 2.5Over1.61Under2.48
Both scoreGG1.58NG2.55
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.61
Over 2.5
62%
Both teams to score@1.58
GG
63%
Double chance@1.30
12
77%
Season stats
LincolnWest Ham1.1Goals per game2.5
1.8Conceded per game1.4
1.15Points per game1.69
31%Win rate46%
-9Goal difference15
4Form, last 5 (pts)7
Lincoln form
LWDLLH Birmingham1–3
H Burnley4–1
A Millwall2–2
H West Ham0–6
A Sheffield Utd3–0
West Ham form
LLWWDH West Brom1–3
H Southampton2–3
A Swansea0–1
A Lincoln0–6
H QPR1–1
Head to head
0
Lincoln
0
Draw
2
West
Oct 2026Lincoln – West Ham0–6
Sept 2023Lincoln – West Ham0–1
Championship table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Middlesbrough13+1328
2Swansea13+726
3Wolves13+724
4West Brom13+524
5Southampton13+1523
6Birmingham13+1023
7Stoke City13+423
8West Ham13+1522
9QPR13+520
10Sheffield Utd13+219
Match preview
Our model makes West Ham slight favourites, giving them a 46% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.16 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.2 goals in total (1.42 for Lincoln, 1.79 for West Ham), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Lincoln sit 16th on 15 points; West Ham are 8th on 22.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.