Over 1.5 goals@1.27
Over 1.5
79%
WORUEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 3Thursday, 5 November 2026 · Europa Point Stadium
Lincoln Red Imps FC
33rd · 0 pts18:45KICK-OFF WAT
HNK Hajduk Split
8th · 6 pts25% Lincoln
23% Draw
52% HNK
OUR PICK
HNK Hajduk Split to win
Model probability 52% · fair odds
1.92
Expected goals
1.15 – 1.78
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.07X4.2921.92
Goals 2.5Over1.78Under2.14
Both scoreGG1.76NG2.19
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.78
Over 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.76
GG
57%
Double chance@1.30
12
77%
Season stats
Lincoln Red Imps FCHNK Hajduk Split1.0Goals per game1.5
3.0Conceded per game0.5
0.00Points per game3.00
0%Win rate100%
-4Goal difference2
0Form, last 5 (pts)6
Lincoln Red Imps FC form
WLWLWH Lions Gibraltar3–0
H Twente1–4
A Lynx1–2
A Brann2–1
H Europa2–0
HNK Hajduk Split form
WDWWWH HNK Gorica5–0
A Istra 19612–2
A FC Thun0–1
H NK Varazdin1–0
H Ajax2–1
Head to head
0
Lincoln
0
Draw
0
HNK
These sides haven't met recently.
UEFA Europa Conference League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Panathinaikos2+56
2FC Lugano2+46
3Brann2+46
4Trabzonspor2+46
5Twente2+46
6Monaco2+46
7St. Truiden2+36
8HNK Hajduk Split2+26
9Brighton2+44
10FC Copenhagen2+34
Match preview
Our model makes HNK Hajduk Split slight favourites, giving them a 52% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.92 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (1.15 for Lincoln Red Imps FC, 1.78 for HNK Hajduk Split), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Lincoln Red Imps FC sit 33rd on 0 points; HNK Hajduk Split are 8th on 6.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.