WORUEFA Europa League · League Stage - 3Thursday, 22 October 2026 · Åråsen Stadion

Lillestrom

31st · 1 pts

0–6FULL TIME

Real Sociedad

14th · 4 pts

44% Lillestrom

25% Draw

30% Real

OUR PICK

Lillestrom to win

Model probability 44% · fair odds

2.25

Expected goals

1.51 – 1.20

Confidence

Low

Fair odds

From our model, no margin

1X212.25X3.9423.31

Goals 2.5Over1.97Under1.93

Both scoreGG1.84NG2.05

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.33

Over 1.5

75%

Over/Under 2.5@1.97

Over 2.5

51%

Both teams to score@1.84

54%

Double chance@1.34

75%

Season stats

LillestromReal Sociedad

0.7Goals per game2.7

3.0Conceded per game1.0

0.33Points per game1.33

0%Win rate33%

-7Goal difference5

1Form, last 5 (pts)4

Lillestrom form

WWWLW

A Start0–1

H Sogndal2–1

H Brann3–2

H Real Sociedad0–6

A Sandefjord0–2

Real Sociedad form

LWWWD

A Athletic Club2–1

H Levante2–1

A Lillestrom0–6

A Malaga2–5

A Union St. Gilloise1–1

Head to head

Lillestrom

Draw

Real

Oct 2026Lillestrom – Real Sociedad0–6

UEFA Europa League table

#TeamGPGDPts

1Benfica3+89

2Bayer Leverkusen3+89

3Bournemouth3+79

4Ferencvarosi TC3+69

5Olympiakos Piraeus3+39

6Union St. Gilloise3+77

7Juventus3+67

8Beşiktaş3+47

9Sunderland3+27

10AZ Alkmaar3+46

Match preview

Our model makes Lillestrom slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.

Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.25 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.51 for Lillestrom, 1.20 for Real Sociedad), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.

Lillestrom sit 31st on 1 points; Real Sociedad are 14th on 4.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.

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