Over 1.5 goals@1.24
Over 1.5
81%
WORUEFA Europa League · League Stage - 4Thursday, 5 November 2026
Lillestrom
31st · 1 pts18:45KICK-OFF WAT
Plzen
33rd · 0 pts41% Lillestrom
24% Draw
35% Plzen
OUR PICK
Lillestrom to win
Model probability 41% · fair odds
2.45
Expected goals
1.59 – 1.46
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.45X4.1622.84
Goals 2.5Over1.70Under2.30
Both scoreGG1.64NG2.42
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.70
Over 2.5
59%
Both teams to score@1.64
GG
61%
Double chance@1.32
12
76%
Season stats
LillestromPlzen0.7Goals per game0.7
3.0Conceded per game2.3
0.33Points per game0.00
0%Win rate0%
-7Goal difference-5
1Form, last 5 (pts)0
Lillestrom form
WWWLWA Start0–1
H Sogndal2–1
H Brann3–2
H Real Sociedad0–6
A Sandefjord0–2
Plzen form
WWLLWA Baník Ostrava0–4
A Vysočina Jihlava1–6
H Pardubice1–2
H Levski Sofia1–2
A FK Jablonec2–3
Head to head
0
Lillestrom
0
Draw
0
Plzen
These sides haven't met recently.
UEFA Europa League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Benfica3+89
2Bayer Leverkusen3+89
3Bournemouth3+79
4Ferencvarosi TC3+69
5Olympiakos Piraeus3+39
6Union St. Gilloise3+77
7Juventus3+67
8Beşiktaş3+47
9Sunderland3+27
10AZ Alkmaar3+46
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Lillestrom 41%, the draw 24%, Plzen 35%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.45 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.59 for Lillestrom, 1.46 for Plzen), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Lillestrom sit 31st on 1 points; Plzen are 33rd on 0.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.