ENGLeague One · Matchday 11Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Matchroom Stadium

Leyton Orient

14th · 17 pts

2–0FULL TIME

Blackpool

19th · 12 pts

53% Leyton

23% Draw

24% Blackpool

OUR PICK

Leyton Orient to win

Model probability 53% · fair odds

1.88

Expected goals

1.85 – 1.17

Confidence

Fair

Fair odds

From our model, no margin

1X211.88X4.4024.17

Goals 2.5Over1.72Under2.25

Both scoreGG1.72NG2.25

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.24

Over 1.5

80%

Over/Under 2.5@1.72

Over 2.5

58%

Both teams to score@1.72

58%

Double chance@1.29

77%

Season stats

Leyton OrientBlackpool

1.5Goals per game1.4

1.1Conceded per game1.8

1.31Points per game1.00

38%Win rate25%

5Goal difference-4

7Form, last 5 (pts)4

Leyton Orient form

WLLWD

H Cambridge United3–0

A Burton Albion2–1

A Reading1–0

H Blackpool2–0

A Bradford0–0

Blackpool form

DWLWL

A Sheffield Wednesday1–1

H Aston Villa U213–2

H Mansfield Town1–4

H Milton Keynes Dons2–0

A Leyton Orient2–0

Head to head

Leyton

Draw

Blackpool

Oct 2026Leyton Orient – Blackpool2–0

Apr 2026Blackpool – Leyton Orient1–0

Nov 2025Leyton Orient – Blackpool1–1

Mar 2025Blackpool – Leyton Orient1–2

Nov 2024Leyton Orient – Blackpool3–0

League One table

#TeamGPGDPts

1Huddersfield13+1628

2Stockport County14+1226

3Oxford United12+923

4Luton13+623

5Plymouth14+223

6Reading13+1222

7Bradford13+222

8Cambridge United14021

9Sheffield Wednesday13+820

10Leicester13+319

Match preview

Our model makes Leyton Orient slight favourites, giving them a 53% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.

Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.88 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.85 for Leyton Orient, 1.17 for Blackpool), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.

Leyton Orient sit 14th on 17 points; Blackpool are 19th on 12.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.

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