Over 1.5 goals@1.21
Over 1.5
83%
USAUSL Championship · Round of 16Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Toyota Stadium
Lexington
1–1FULL TIME
Colorado Springs
53% Lexington
22% Draw
25% Colorado
OUR PICK
Lexington to win
Model probability 53% · fair odds
1.88
Expected goals
1.93 – 1.25
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.88X4.5124.06
Goals 2.5Over1.62Under2.48
Both scoreGG1.64NG2.42
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.62
Over 2.5
62%
Both teams to score@1.64
GG
61%
Double chance@1.28
12
78%
Lexington form
DWDWWA Phoenix Rising3–3
A Las Vegas Lights3–5
H FC Tulsa0–0
H El Paso Locomotive3–1
A Monterey Bay2–3
Colorado Springs form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Lexington
0
Draw
0
Colorado
These sides haven't met recently.
USL Championship table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies30+2661
2Charleston Battery30+2153
3Detroit City30+1351
4Louisville City30+847
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds30+345
6Hartford Athletic30+243
7Rhode Island30+942
8Miami FC30-1036
9Indy Eleven30-634
10Loudoun United30-1031
Match preview
Our model makes Lexington slight favourites, giving them a 53% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.88 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.2 goals in total (1.93 for Lexington, 1.25 for Colorado Springs), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.