Over 1.5 goals@1.54
Over 1.5
65%
BULFirst League · Matchday 13Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov
Levski Sofia
1st · 32 pts16:00KICK-OFF WAT
CSKA Sofia
2nd · 31 pts48% Levski
28% Draw
24% CSKA
OUR PICK
Levski Sofia to win
Model probability 48% · fair odds
2.10
Expected goals
1.34 – 0.87
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.10X3.5724.11
Goals 2.5Over2.48Under1.61
Both scoreGG2.19NG1.75
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.61
Under 2.5
62%
Both teams to score@1.75
NG
57%
Double chance@1.32
1X
76%
Season stats
Levski SofiaCSKA Sofia2.1Goals per game2.2
0.4Conceded per game0.7
2.67Points per game2.38
83%Win rate69%
20Goal difference20
11Form, last 5 (pts)11
Levski Sofia form
No recent matches.
CSKA Sofia form
DWDWLH Slavia Sofia0–0
H Ludogorets2–0
A FC Nordsjaelland2–2
A Nesebar0–2
H Monaco1–2
Head to head
0
Levski
0
Draw
0
CSKA
These sides haven't met recently.
First League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Levski Sofia12+2032
2CSKA Sofia13+2031
3Ludogorets12+1529
4CSKA 194813+1728
5Botev Plovdiv13+222
6Arda Kardzhali12-218
7Slavia Sofia13013
8Spartak Varna13-1113
9Dunav Ruse13-711
10Botev Vratsa12-1110
Match preview
Our model makes Levski Sofia slight favourites, giving them a 48% chance of winning against 28% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.10 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.2 goals in total (1.34 for Levski Sofia, 0.87 for CSKA Sofia), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Levski Sofia sit 1st on 32 points; CSKA Sofia are 2nd on 31.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.