Over 1.5 goals@1.25
Over 1.5
80%
ESPLa Liga · Matchday 11Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
Levante
17th · 10 pts0–2FULL TIME
Atletico Madrid
2nd · 28 pts19% Levante
21% Draw
60% Atletico
OUR PICK
Atletico Madrid to win
Model probability 60% · fair odds
1.67
Expected goals
1.02 – 1.99
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X215.31X4.6921.67
Goals 2.5Over1.73Under2.25
Both scoreGG1.81NG2.10
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.73
Over 2.5
58%
Both teams to score@1.81
GG
55%
Double chance@1.23
X2
81%
Season stats
LevanteAtletico Madrid1.5Goals per game2.0
1.9Conceded per game0.7
0.91Points per game2.55
18%Win rate82%
-5Goal difference14
5Form, last 5 (pts)15
Levante form
No recent matches.
Atletico Madrid form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Levante
0
Draw
0
Atletico
These sides haven't met recently.
La Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Barcelona11+3430
2Atletico Madrid11+1428
3Real Madrid10+1524
4Real Betis11+323
5Real Sociedad10+119
6Sevilla10017
7Athletic Club9+312
8Villarreal11012
9Celta Vigo11012
10Alaves11-212
Match preview
Our model makes Atletico Madrid clear favourites, giving them a 60% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.67 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.02 for Levante, 1.99 for Atletico Madrid), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Levante sit 17th on 10 points; Atletico Madrid are 2nd on 28.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.