Over 1.5 goals@1.09
Over 1.5
92%
WORUEFA Champions League · League Stage - 2Tuesday, 13 October 2026 · Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Lens
27th · 3 pts0–2FULL TIME
Sporting CP
12th · 6 pts39% Lens
20% Draw
41% Sporting
OUR PICK
Sporting CP to win
Model probability 41% · fair odds
2.45
Expected goals
2.05 – 2.10
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.57X4.9222.45
Goals 2.5Over1.28Under4.29
Both scoreGG1.31NG3.93
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.28
Over 2.5
78%
Both teams to score@1.31
GG
76%
Double chance@1.26
12
80%
Season stats
LensSporting CP1.0Goals per game2.3
2.3Conceded per game1.3
1.00Points per game2.00
33%Win rate67%
-4Goal difference3
3Form, last 5 (pts)6
Lens form
LWLWLA Lille1–0
H Paris FC2–1
A Club Brugge KV3–0
A Estac Troyes1–3
H Sporting CP0–2
Sporting CP form
WWLLWA Casa Pia0–2
H Maritimo2–1
H Academico Viseu1–2
H Lask Linz2–3
A Lens0–2
Head to head
0
Lens
0
Draw
1
Sporting
Oct 2026Lens – Sporting CP0–2
UEFA Champions League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Paris Saint Germain3+99
2Aston Villa3+99
3Liverpool3+59
4Real Madrid3+59
5Real Betis3+39
6VfB Stuttgart3+57
7Arsenal3+47
8Barcelona3+56
9Como3+56
10Manchester City3+46
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Lens 39%, the draw 20%, Sporting CP 41%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.45 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.2 goals in total (2.05 for Lens, 2.10 for Sporting CP), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Lens sit 27th on 3 points; Sporting CP are 12th on 6.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.