Over 1.5 goals@1.40
Over 1.5
71%
PORSegunda Liga · Matchday 9Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Estadio do Mar
Leixoes
13th · 10 pts1–2FULL TIME
Sporting CP B
1st · 21 pts24% Leixoes
26% Draw
51% Sporting
OUR PICK
Sporting CP B to win
Model probability 51% · fair odds
1.98
Expected goals
0.97 – 1.54
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.20X3.9021.98
Goals 2.5Over2.05Under1.85
Both scoreGG1.93NG1.95
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.85
Under 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.95
NG
51%
Double chance@1.31
X2
76%
Season stats
LeixoesSporting CP B1.1Goals per game1.7
1.6Conceded per game0.8
1.11Points per game2.33
33%Win rate78%
-4Goal difference8
4Form, last 5 (pts)12
Leixoes form
No recent matches.
Sporting CP B form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Leixoes
0
Draw
0
Sporting
These sides haven't met recently.
Segunda Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Sporting CP B9+821
2Lusitânia Lourosa8+718
3Benfica B9+517
4Penafiel8+1016
5Academica8+415
6Farense8+414
7União de Leiria9+214
8AVS9+112
9Tondela8+112
10Portimonense9-411
Match preview
Our model makes Sporting CP B slight favourites, giving them a 51% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.98 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (0.97 for Leixoes, 1.54 for Sporting CP B), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Leixoes sit 13th on 10 points; Sporting CP B are 1st on 21.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.