ENGLeague One · Matchday 8Tuesday, 27 October 2026 · King Power Stadium

Leicester

10th · 19 pts

3–0FULL TIME

Wigan

21st · 10 pts

58% Leicester

22% Draw

20% Wigan

OUR PICK

Leicester to win

Model probability 58% · fair odds

1.73

Expected goals

1.88 – 1.01

Confidence

Medium

Fair odds

From our model, no margin

1X211.73X4.4825.01

Goals 2.5Over1.81Under2.10

Both scoreGG1.86NG2.05

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.28

Over 1.5

78%

Over/Under 2.5@1.81

Over 2.5

55%

Both teams to score@1.86

54%

Double chance@1.25

80%

Season stats

LeicesterWigan

1.7Goals per game0.8

1.5Conceded per game1.7

1.46Points per game0.77

38%Win rate23%

3Goal difference-11

10Form, last 5 (pts)6

Leicester form

DWLWW

H Stevenage2–2

H Wigan3–0

A Luton2–1

A Bromley0–4

H Doncaster2–1

Wigan form

WLLLW

H Bromley3–2

A Leicester3–0

A Huddersfield2–1

A Oxford United2–1

H Reading1–0

Head to head

Leicester

Draw

Wigan

Oct 2026Leicester – Wigan3–0

Jan 2020Leicester – Wigan2–0

Apr 2014Wigan – Leicester2–2

Sept 2013Leicester – Wigan2–0

League One table

#TeamGPGDPts

1Huddersfield13+1628

2Stockport County14+1226

3Oxford United12+923

4Luton13+623

5Plymouth14+223

6Reading13+1222

7Bradford13+222

8Cambridge United14021

9Sheffield Wednesday13+820

10Leicester13+319

Match preview

Our model makes Leicester clear favourites, giving them a 58% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.

Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.73 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 2.9 goals in total (1.88 for Leicester, 1.01 for Wigan), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.

Leicester sit 10th on 19 points; Wigan are 21st on 10.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.

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