Over 1.5 goals@1.35
Over 1.5
74%
ENGLeague One · Matchday 14Saturday, 31 October 2026 · King Power Stadium
Leicester
10th · 19 pts2–2FULL TIME
Stevenage
16th · 16 pts41% Leicester
26% Draw
33% Stevenage
OUR PICK
Leicester to win
Model probability 41% · fair odds
2.43
Expected goals
1.41 – 1.23
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.43X3.8423.05
Goals 2.5Over1.93Under1.97
Both scoreGG1.87NG2.01
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.97
Under 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.87
GG
53%
Double chance@1.35
12
74%
Season stats
LeicesterStevenage1.7Goals per game1.4
1.5Conceded per game1.1
1.46Points per game1.33
38%Win rate33%
3Goal difference4
10Form, last 5 (pts)7
Leicester form
DWLWWH Stevenage2–2
H Wigan3–0
A Luton2–1
A Bromley0–4
H Doncaster2–1
Stevenage form
DLWLWA Leicester2–2
H Milton Keynes Dons0–1
H Plymouth3–0
A Bradford2–0
H Wigan1–0
Head to head
0
Leicester
1
Draw
1
Stevenage
Oct 2026Leicester – Stevenage2–2
Oct 2026Stevenage – Leicester2–1
League One table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Huddersfield13+1628
2Stockport County14+1226
3Oxford United12+923
4Luton13+623
5Plymouth14+223
6Reading13+1222
7Bradford13+222
8Cambridge United14021
9Sheffield Wednesday13+820
10Leicester13+319
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Leicester 41%, the draw 26%, Stevenage 33%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.43 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.41 for Leicester, 1.23 for Stevenage), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Leicester sit 10th on 19 points; Stevenage are 16th on 16.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.