ENGLeague One · Matchday 10Saturday, 10 October 2026 · King Power Stadium

Leicester

10th · 19 pts

1–3FULL TIME

Peterborough

22nd · 10 pts

73% Leicester

17% Draw

10% Peterborough

OUR PICK

Leicester to win

Model probability 73% · fair odds

1.38

Expected goals

2.29 – 0.73

Confidence

Very high

Fair odds

From our model, no margin

1X211.38X5.8229.73

Goals 2.5Over1.72Under2.25

Both scoreGG2.01NG1.87

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.24

Over 1.5

80%

Over/Under 2.5@1.72

Over 2.5

58%

Both teams to score@1.87

53%

Double chance@1.11

90%

Season stats

LeicesterPeterborough

1.7Goals per game0.8

1.5Conceded per game1.8

1.46Points per game0.77

38%Win rate15%

3Goal difference-12

10Form, last 5 (pts)5

Leicester form

DWLWW

H Stevenage2–2

H Wigan3–0

A Luton2–1

A Bromley0–4

H Doncaster2–1

Peterborough form

LLDLD

H Luton0–2

A Bradford2–0

A Bromley1–1

A Huddersfield4–1

H Burton Albion2–2

Head to head

Leicester

Draw

Peterborough

Oct 2026Leicester – Peterborough1–3

Jan 2018Peterborough – Leicester1–5

Feb 2013Peterborough – Leicester2–1

Aug 2012Leicester – Peterborough2–0

Mar 2012Peterborough – Leicester1–0

League One table

#TeamGPGDPts

1Huddersfield13+1628

2Stockport County14+1226

3Oxford United12+923

4Luton13+623

5Plymouth14+223

6Reading13+1222

7Bradford13+222

8Cambridge United14021

9Sheffield Wednesday13+820

10Leicester13+319

Match preview

Our model makes Leicester clear favourites, giving them a 73% chance of winning against 17% for the draw.

Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.38 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 3.0 goals in total (2.29 for Leicester, 0.73 for Peterborough), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.

Leicester sit 10th on 19 points; Peterborough are 22nd on 10.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.

Discuss on Telegram More League One tips