Over 1.5 goals@1.28
Over 1.5
78%
ESPSegunda División · Matchday 10Friday, 16 October 2026 · Estadio Municipal de Butarque
Leganes
17th · 12 pts0–1FULL TIME
Cordoba
11th · 16 pts34% Leganes
25% Draw
41% Cordoba
OUR PICK
Cordoba to win
Model probability 41% · fair odds
2.43
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.51
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.94X4.0222.43
Goals 2.5Over1.84Under2.05
Both scoreGG1.73NG2.25
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.84
Over 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.73
GG
58%
Double chance@1.33
12
75%
Season stats
LeganesCordoba0.6Goals per game1.6
1.5Conceded per game1.8
1.09Points per game1.33
27%Win rate42%
-9Goal difference-3
1Form, last 5 (pts)10
Leganes form
DLLLLH Mallorca1–1
H Cordoba0–1
A Almeria3–0
A Cadiz4–0
H Castellón0–2
Cordoba form
DLWWLA Celta de Vigo II2–2
A Atlético Paso3–1
H Eibar2–0
A Leganes0–1
A Eldense2–1
Head to head
0
Leganes
1
Draw
2
Cordoba
Oct 2026Leganes – Cordoba0–1
Feb 2026Cordoba – Leganes2–1
Dec 2025Leganes – Cordoba0–0
Segunda División table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Castellón12+1827
2Almeria12+1326
3Eibar12+723
4Granada CF12+623
5Sporting Gijon12022
6Girona12+1121
7Burgos12+421
8Mallorca11+719
9Oviedo11+318
10Sabadell12+117
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Leganes 34%, the draw 25%, Cordoba 41%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.43 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (1.35 for Leganes, 1.51 for Cordoba), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Leganes sit 17th on 12 points; Cordoba are 11th on 16.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.