Over 1.5 goals@1.44
Over 1.5
70%
ESPSegunda División · Matchday 13Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Estadio Municipal de Butarque
Leganes
17th · 12 pts18:30KICK-OFF WAT
Albacete
21st · 7 pts46% Leganes
27% Draw
27% Albacete
OUR PICK
Leganes to win
Model probability 46% · fair odds
2.17
Expected goals
1.41 – 1.01
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.17X3.7223.71
Goals 2.5Over2.14Under1.77
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.93
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.77
Under 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.93
NG
52%
Double chance@1.37
12
73%
Season stats
LeganesAlbacete0.8Goals per game0.8
1.7Conceded per game1.9
1.00Points per game0.58
25%Win rate17%
-10Goal difference-13
1Form, last 5 (pts)6
Leganes form
LDLLLA Valladolid4–3
H Mallorca1–1
H Cordoba0–1
A Almeria3–0
A Cadiz4–0
Albacete form
WWLLLH Sabadell2–1
H Eldense2–0
A Sporting Gijon2–1
A Valladolid5–0
H Eibar1–3
Head to head
2
Leganes
1
Draw
2
Albacete
Jul 2026Leganes – Albacete0–0
Apr 2026Leganes – Albacete2–1
Jan 2026Albacete – Leganes1–3
Dec 2025Leganes – Albacete1–2
May 2024Albacete – Leganes1–0
Segunda División table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Castellón12+1827
2Almeria12+1326
3Eibar12+723
4Granada CF12+623
5Mallorca12+822
6Sporting Gijon12022
7Girona12+1121
8Burgos12+421
9Oviedo12+218
10Sabadell12+117
Match preview
Our model makes Leganes slight favourites, giving them a 46% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.17 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (1.41 for Leganes, 1.01 for Albacete), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Leganes sit 17th on 12 points; Albacete are 21st on 7.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.