Over 1.5 goals@1.19
Over 1.5
84%
POLEkstraklasa · Matchday 13Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Stadion Miejski
Lech Poznan
1st · 31 pts3–1FULL TIME
Wisla Krakow
7th · 21 pts66% Lech
19% Draw
15% Wisla
OUR PICK
Lech Poznan to win
Model probability 66% · fair odds
1.50
Expected goals
2.29 – 0.99
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.50X5.3826.69
Goals 2.5Over1.57Under2.62
Both scoreGG1.77NG2.14
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.57
Over 2.5
64%
Both teams to score@1.77
GG
56%
Double chance@1.18
1X
85%
Season stats
Lech PoznanWisla Krakow2.7Goals per game1.5
0.9Conceded per game1.4
2.58Points per game1.62
83%Win rate46%
21Goal difference2
15Form, last 5 (pts)7
Lech Poznan form
No recent matches.
Wisla Krakow form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Lech
0
Draw
0
Wisla
These sides haven't met recently.
Ekstraklasa table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Lech Poznan12+2131
2Gornik Zabrze13+1028
3Legia Warszawa13+1224
4Pogon Szczecin11+1024
5GKS Katowice13+621
6Piast Gliwice13+421
7Wisla Krakow13+221
8Zaglebie Lubin12019
9Jagiellonia12-118
10Korona Kielce12-418
Match preview
Our model makes Lech Poznan clear favourites, giving them a 66% chance of winning against 19% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.50 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.3 goals in total (2.29 for Lech Poznan, 0.99 for Wisla Krakow), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Lech Poznan sit 1st on 31 points; Wisla Krakow are 7th on 21.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.