Over 1.5 goals@1.35
Over 1.5
74%
ITASerie A · Matchday 8Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Stadio Via del Mare
Lecce
14th · 9 pts0–2FULL TIME
Juventus
7th · 17 pts31% Lecce
26% Draw
44% Juventus
OUR PICK
Juventus to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.30
Expected goals
1.18 – 1.46
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.27X3.8722.30
Goals 2.5Over1.93Under1.97
Both scoreGG1.88NG2.01
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.97
Under 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.88
GG
53%
Double chance@1.35
12
74%
Season stats
LecceJuventus1.1Goals per game1.3
2.1Conceded per game1.0
0.90Points per game1.70
30%Win rate50%
-10Goal difference3
3Form, last 5 (pts)7
Lecce form
LLLWLH Genoa1–2
A Frosinone5–1
H Juventus0–2
A Udinese0–3
H Bologna1–2
Juventus form
WLWDLH Napoli2–0
A Genoa2–0
A Lecce0–2
H Rennes2–2
H Lazio0–3
Head to head
0
Lecce
2
Draw
3
Juventus
Oct 2026Lecce – Juventus0–2
May 2026Lecce – Juventus0–1
Jan 2026Juventus – Lecce1–1
Apr 2025Juventus – Lecce2–1
Dec 2024Lecce – Juventus1–1
Serie A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Lazio10+1628
2Inter10+1325
3AS Roma10+1824
4Como10+1023
5AC Milan10+921
6Frosinone10+1020
7Juventus10+317
8Napoli10+414
9Bologna10+114
10Torino10-213
Match preview
Our model makes Juventus slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.30 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.18 for Lecce, 1.46 for Juventus), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Lecce sit 14th on 9 points; Juventus are 7th on 17.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.