Over 1.5 goals@1.25
Over 1.5
80%
FRALigue 1 · Matchday 9Friday, 30 October 2026 · Stade Océane
Le Havre
18th · 2 pts1–5FULL TIME
Paris Saint Germain
1st · 20 pts22% Le
22% Draw
56% Paris
OUR PICKSolo pick of the day
Over 2.5
Model probability 57% · fair odds
1.74
Expected goals
1.09 – 1.90
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.65X4.4921.78
Goals 2.5Over1.74Under2.19
Both scoreGG1.77NG2.14
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.74
Over 2.5
57%
Both teams to score@1.77
GG
56%
Double chance@1.27
X2
78%
Season stats
Le HavreParis Saint Germain1.0Goals per game2.3
2.2Conceded per game1.1
0.22Points per game2.22
0%Win rate67%
-11Goal difference11
0Form, last 5 (pts)15
Le Havre form
LLLLWH Paris Saint Germain1–5
A Marseille4–3
H Auxerre1–3
A Lille1–0
H Boulogne6–1
Paris Saint Germain form
WWWWWA Le Havre1–5
H Lyon2–0
H Barcelona4–2
A Strasbourg1–3
A Manchester City2–4
Head to head
0
Le
0
Draw
5
Paris
Oct 2026Le Havre – Paris Saint Germain1–5
Feb 2026Le Havre – Paris Saint Germain0–1
Nov 2025Paris Saint Germain – Le Havre3–0
Apr 2025Paris Saint Germain – Le Havre2–1
Aug 2024Le Havre – Paris Saint Germain1–4
Ligue 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Paris Saint Germain9+1120
2Lille9+618
3Lyon9+817
4Paris FC9+617
5Rennes9+116
6Marseille9+715
7Monaco9+215
8Nice9+114
9Lens9+313
10Stade Brestois 299+412
Match preview
Our model makes Paris Saint Germain clear favourites, giving them a 56% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.78 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.09 for Le Havre, 1.90 for Paris Saint Germain), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Le Havre sit 18th on 2 points; Paris Saint Germain are 1st on 20.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.