SoccerVistaPredict
FRALigue 1 · Matchday 7Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Stade Océane

Le Havre

18th · 2 pts
1–3FULL TIME

Auxerre

14th · 10 pts
50% Le
22% Draw
29% Auxerre
OUR PICK
Le Havre to win
Model probability 50% · fair odds
2.02
Expected goals
2.02 – 1.51
Confidence
Fair

Fair odds

From our model, no margin
1X212.02X4.6523.45
Goals 2.5Over1.46Under2.95
Both scoreGG1.48NG2.95

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.15
Over 1.5
87%
Over/Under 2.5@1.46
Over 2.5
68%
Both teams to score@1.48
GG
68%
Double chance@1.27
12
78%

Season stats

Le HavreAuxerre
1.0Goals per game1.4
2.2Conceded per game2.6
0.22Points per game1.11
0%Win rate33%
-11Goal difference-10
0Form, last 5 (pts)7

Le Havre form

LLLLW
H Paris Saint Germain1–5
A Marseille4–3
H Auxerre1–3
A Lille1–0
H Boulogne6–1

Auxerre form

LDWLW
A Strasbourg5–1
H Le Mans1–1
A Le Havre1–3
A Rennes4–1
H Clermont Foot4–3

Head to head

3
Le
1
Draw
1
Auxerre
Oct 2026Le Havre – Auxerre1–3
Apr 2026Le Havre – Auxerre1–1
Oct 2025Auxerre – Le Havre0–1
May 2025Auxerre – Le Havre1–2
Sept 2024Le Havre – Auxerre3–1

Ligue 1 table

#TeamGPGDPts
1Paris Saint Germain9+1120
2Lille9+618
3Lyon9+817
4Paris FC9+617
5Rennes9+116
6Marseille9+715
7Monaco9+215
8Nice9+114
9Lens9+313
10Stade Brestois 299+412

Match preview

Our model makes Le Havre slight favourites, giving them a 50% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.

Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.02 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 3.5 goals in total (2.02 for Le Havre, 1.51 for Auxerre), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.

Le Havre sit 18th on 2 points; Auxerre are 14th on 10.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.

Discuss on TelegramMore Ligue 1 tips