Over 1.5 goals@1.56
Over 1.5
64%
FRALigue 2 · Matchday 9Friday, 16 October 2026 · Stade Francis-Le Basser
Laval
16th · 9 pts3–3FULL TIME
Clermont Foot
17th · 8 pts41% Laval
29% Draw
30% Clermont
OUR PICK
Laval to win
Model probability 41% · fair odds
2.42
Expected goals
1.21 – 0.98
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.42X3.4523.36
Goals 2.5Over2.55Under1.60
Both scoreGG2.14NG1.78
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.60
Under 2.5
63%
Both teams to score@1.78
NG
56%
Double chance@1.41
12
71%
Season stats
LavalClermont Foot1.3Goals per game0.9
1.9Conceded per game1.4
0.82Points per game0.73
18%Win rate0%
-7Goal difference-5
5Form, last 5 (pts)3
Laval form
WLDLWH Boulogne1–0
A Nancy1–0
H Clermont Foot3–3
A PAU3–2
H Rennes1–0
Clermont Foot form
DLDLLA Nantes1–1
H Guingamp0–2
A Laval3–3
H RED Star FC 932–3
A Auxerre4–3
Head to head
0
Laval
3
Draw
2
Clermont
Oct 2026Laval – Clermont Foot3–3
Jan 2026Clermont Foot – Laval4–1
Aug 2025Laval – Clermont Foot0–0
Jan 2025Clermont Foot – Laval1–1
Oct 2024Laval – Clermont Foot1–2
Ligue 2 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Saint Etienne11+1225
2Montpellier11+1024
3Nancy11+722
4Reims11+1021
5PAU11+520
6RED Star FC 9311-217
7Annecy11-116
8Dijon11+115
9Guingamp11+114
10Metz11014
Match preview
Our model makes Laval slight favourites, giving them a 41% chance of winning against 29% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.42 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.2 goals in total (1.21 for Laval, 0.98 for Clermont Foot), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Laval sit 16th on 9 points; Clermont Foot are 17th on 8.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.