Over 1.5 goals@1.29
Over 1.5
78%
SUISuper League · Matchday 12Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Stockhorn Arena
Lausanne
12th · 6 pts0–1LIVE 19'
FC Thun
10th · 10 pts39% Lausanne
25% Draw
36% FC
OUR PICK
Lausanne to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.56
Expected goals
1.46 – 1.39
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.56X4.0022.78
Goals 2.5Over1.84Under2.05
Both scoreGG1.73NG2.25
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.84
Over 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.73
GG
58%
Double chance@1.33
12
75%
Season stats
LausanneFC Thun0.6Goals per game1.7
1.5Conceded per game2.7
0.55Points per game0.91
9%Win rate27%
-10Goal difference-11
0Form, last 5 (pts)3
Lausanne form
DLWLLH FC Thun0–0
A FC Sion1–0
A Winkeln St. Gallen0–7
A FC ST. Gallen1–0
H FC Lugano0–4
FC Thun form
LLDLLH FC Lugano2–3
H HNK Hajduk Split0–1
A FC Schaffhausen2–2
A Twente1–0
A FC Zurich4–2
Head to head
1
Lausanne
2
Draw
2
FC
Sept 2026FC Thun – Lausanne0–0
Feb 2026FC Thun – Lausanne5–1
Nov 2025Lausanne – FC Thun2–1
Aug 2025FC Thun – Lausanne2–1
Mar 2025Lausanne – FC Thun2–2
Super League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Lugano11+2531
2BSC Young Boys11+1725
3FC Sion12+723
4FC ST. Gallen12-319
5FC Zurich11-317
6Servette FC12+116
7FC Basel 189311-314
8FC Luzern12-613
9FC Vaduz12-110
10FC Thun11-1110
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Lausanne 39%, the draw 25%, FC Thun 36%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.56 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.46 for Lausanne, 1.39 for FC Thun), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Lausanne sit 12th on 6 points; FC Thun are 10th on 10.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.