Over 1.5 goals@1.30
Over 1.5
77%
AUTBundesliga · Matchday 10Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Raiffeisen Arena
Lask Linz
3rd · 22 pts1–3FULL TIME
Red Bull Salzburg
1st · 27 pts32% Lask
25% Draw
43% Red
OUR PICK
Red Bull Salzburg to win
Model probability 43% · fair odds
2.35
Expected goals
1.28 – 1.51
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.10X3.9822.35
Goals 2.5Over1.89Under2.01
Both scoreGG1.78NG2.14
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.89
Over 2.5
53%
Both teams to score@1.78
GG
56%
Double chance@1.34
12
75%
Season stats
Lask LinzRed Bull Salzburg2.4Goals per game2.6
1.2Conceded per game0.5
2.00Points per game2.45
64%Win rate73%
13Goal difference23
7Form, last 5 (pts)13
Lask Linz form
WWLWWH WSG Wattens2–1
H Ried5–4
H Red Bull Salzburg1–3
A Sporting CP2–3
A Austria Lustenau0–4
Red Bull Salzburg form
WWWDWH Austria Lustenau5–1
A Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz2–3
A Lask Linz1–3
A Celje2–2
H SCR Altach3–0
Head to head
2
Lask
0
Draw
3
Red
Oct 2026Lask Linz – Red Bull Salzburg1–3
May 2026Lask Linz – Red Bull Salzburg2–1
Apr 2026Red Bull Salzburg – Lask Linz2–3
Feb 2026Lask Linz – Red Bull Salzburg1–5
Aug 2025Red Bull Salzburg – Lask Linz3–0
Bundesliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Red Bull Salzburg11+2327
2Rapid Vienna10+2227
3Lask Linz11+1322
4Sturm Graz11+619
5TSV Hartberg11+117
6Ried11+116
7WSG Wattens11-312
8SCR Altach11-610
9Grazer AK11-1910
10Austria Lustenau11-168
Match preview
Our model makes Red Bull Salzburg slight favourites, giving them a 43% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.35 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.28 for Lask Linz, 1.51 for Red Bull Salzburg), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Lask Linz sit 3rd on 22 points; Red Bull Salzburg are 1st on 27.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.