Over 1.5 goals@1.14
Over 1.5
88%
AUTBundesliga · Matchday 8Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Raiffeisen Arena
Lask Linz
3rd · 22 pts0–2FULL TIME
Rapid Vienna
1st · 30 pts38% Lask
22% Draw
41% Rapid
OUR PICK
Rapid Vienna to win
Model probability 41% · fair odds
2.47
Expected goals
1.79 – 1.86
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.65X4.5922.47
Goals 2.5Over1.42Under3.25
Both scoreGG1.42NG3.14
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.42
Over 2.5
71%
Both teams to score@1.42
GG
70%
Double chance@1.28
12
78%
Season stats
Lask LinzRapid Vienna2.4Goals per game3.0
1.2Conceded per game0.8
2.00Points per game2.73
64%Win rate91%
13Goal difference24
7Form, last 5 (pts)15
Lask Linz form
WWLWWH WSG Wattens2–1
H Ried5–4
H Red Bull Salzburg1–3
A Sporting CP2–3
A Austria Lustenau0–4
Rapid Vienna form
WWWWWA Austria Vienna0–2
A First Vienna0–3
H Austria Lustenau5–1
H TSV Hartberg3–1
A Lask Linz0–2
Head to head
3
Lask
0
Draw
2
Rapid
Oct 2026Lask Linz – Rapid Vienna0–2
May 2026Lask Linz – Rapid Vienna3–1
Mar 2026Rapid Vienna – Lask Linz4–2
Nov 2025Lask Linz – Rapid Vienna3–0
Oct 2025Rapid Vienna – Lask Linz0–2
Bundesliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Rapid Vienna11+2430
2Red Bull Salzburg11+2327
3Lask Linz11+1322
4Sturm Graz11+619
5TSV Hartberg11+117
6Ried11+116
7WSG Wattens11-312
8SCR Altach11-610
9Grazer AK11-1910
10Austria Lustenau11-168
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Lask Linz 38%, the draw 22%, Rapid Vienna 41%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.47 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.7 goals in total (1.79 for Lask Linz, 1.86 for Rapid Vienna), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Lask Linz sit 3rd on 22 points; Rapid Vienna are 1st on 30.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.