Over 1.5 goals@1.10
Over 1.5
91%
WORUEFA Champions League · League Stage - 2Wednesday, 14 October 2026 · Raiffeisen Arena
Lask Linz
24th · 3 pts3–6FULL TIME
Liverpool
3rd · 9 pts42% Lask
21% Draw
37% Liverpool
OUR PICK
Lask Linz to win
Model probability 42% · fair odds
2.36
Expected goals
2.05 – 1.91
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.36X4.8022.71
Goals 2.5Over1.32Under3.93
Both scoreGG1.35NG3.63
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.32
Over 2.5
76%
Both teams to score@1.35
GG
74%
Double chance@1.26
12
79%
Season stats
Lask LinzLiverpool2.0Goals per game4.0
3.0Conceded per game2.3
1.00Points per game3.00
33%Win rate100%
-3Goal difference5
6Form, last 5 (pts)9
Lask Linz form
WWLWWH WSG Wattens2–1
H Ried5–4
H Red Bull Salzburg1–3
A Sporting CP2–3
A Austria Lustenau0–4
Liverpool form
LDWWWH Arsenal0–1
H Chelsea1–1
H Brighton2–0
H Villarreal4–3
A Brentford1–2
Head to head
0
Lask
0
Draw
0
Liverpool
These sides haven't met recently.
UEFA Champions League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Paris Saint Germain3+99
2Aston Villa3+99
3Liverpool3+59
4Real Madrid3+59
5Real Betis3+39
6VfB Stuttgart3+57
7Arsenal3+47
8Barcelona3+56
9Como3+56
10Manchester City3+46
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Lask Linz 42%, the draw 21%, Liverpool 37%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.36 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.0 goals in total (2.05 for Lask Linz, 1.91 for Liverpool), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Lask Linz sit 24th on 3 points; Liverpool are 3rd on 9.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.