Over 1.5 goals@1.48
Over 1.5
67%
ARGLiga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 15Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Estadio Ciudad de Lanus
Lanus
6th · 24 pts00:45KICK-OFF WAT
Gimnasia M.
11th · 19 pts57% Lanus
25% Draw
18% Gimnasia
OUR PICK
Lanus to win
Model probability 57% · fair odds
1.76
Expected goals
1.57 – 0.75
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.76X3.9525.62
Goals 2.5Over2.30Under1.69
Both scoreGG2.25NG1.72
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.69
Under 2.5
59%
Both teams to score@1.72
NG
58%
Double chance@1.22
1X
82%
Season stats
LanusGimnasia M.1.1Goals per game0.9
0.9Conceded per game1.4
1.50Points per game1.19
38%Win rate31%
3Goal difference-8
11Form, last 5 (pts)4
Lanus form
No recent matches.
Gimnasia M. form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Lanus
0
Draw
0
Gimnasia
These sides haven't met recently.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.16+1231
2Boca Juniors16+1330
3Velez Sarsfield16+628
4Talleres Cordoba16+426
5Independiente16+424
6Lanus16+324
7San Lorenzo16022
8Union Santa Fe16+421
9Instituto Cordoba16021
10Defensa Y Justicia16-319
Match preview
Our model makes Lanus clear favourites, giving them a 57% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.76 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (1.57 for Lanus, 0.75 for Gimnasia M.), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Lanus sit 6th on 24 points; Gimnasia M. are 11th on 19.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.